High Risk Declining

Truck Driver

Truck drivers transport goods over long distances using heavy trucks and tractor-trailers.

$54,320
Median Salary
3.6 million
Total Employed
3
Career Transitions
AI Risk Score
0 %
High Risk

Competition Forecast

Millions will compete for the same safe roles. Act now for a head start.

3.5M potential if full automation (long-haul first)

Workers Leaving This Role

Top Target Role

Fleet Manager / Logistics Coordinator

Expected Competition

High - but 90% turnover rate creates natural attrition

Your Head Start

3-5 years to upskill before mass displacement

3.5M potential if full automation (long-haul first) workers will flood the job market competing for the same transition paths.

Estimates based on labor market research from BLS, McKinsey, and World Economic Forum. Actual outcomes may vary.

Urgency Indicators

AI Capability Today 8/10

How well can AI perform this job today (1-10)

Job Posting Trend -15% since 2020

Change in job postings over recent years

Automation Timeline 3-7 years

Estimated time until significant automation

Waymo autonomous trucks operating commercially Aurora Driver deployed on Texas highways TuSimple completing 80+ hour driverless runs

Why This Job Is At Risk

Autonomous vehicle technology advancing with 2026 pilot programs

Major companies (Aurora, Waymo) testing self-driving trucks on highways

Hub-to-hub autonomy projected to reach 30% by 2035

Driver shortage accelerating automation investment

Career Transitions

Safe career paths based on your existing skills

Logistics Coordinator

40%
Salary Change +15%
Skill Overlap 70%
Time to Transition 3-6 months

Skills to Learn

Route PlanningFleet SoftwareCommunication

Warehouse Operations Manager

35%
Salary Change +25%
Skill Overlap 60%
Time to Transition 6-12 months

Skills to Learn

Team LeadershipInventory SystemsSafety Compliance

Heavy Equipment Operator

55%
Salary Change +10%
Skill Overlap 75%
Time to Transition 3-6 months

Skills to Learn

Equipment CertificationSafety TrainingMechanical Knowledge

Recommended Courses

Start your transition today with these courses

Most Popular

Logistics and Supply Chain Management

Coursera

Duration 4 months
Price $49/month
Rating β˜… 4.7

Skills You'll Learn

Supply ChainInventory ManagementLogistics Software
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Fleet Management Fundamentals

Udemy

Duration 8 hours
Price $19.99
Rating β˜… 4.5

Skills You'll Learn

Fleet TrackingRoute OptimizationCost Control
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OSHA Safety Certification

OSHA

Duration 30 hours
Price $189
Rating β˜… 4.6

Skills You'll Learn

Workplace SafetyComplianceHazard Recognition
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